What I Said to Judge Jenkins:
Judge Jenkins, I am troubled by your reliance on the flimsy predictive analysis models you use to support your stiff stay-at-home-guidelines.
It appears that the basis for your position comes from the COVID Act Now website. A closer look at how many of the COVID Act Now’s predictions have already fallen short, makes me wonder if something more nefarious is at work. Even the creators admit that “this model is designed to drive fast action, not predict the future.”
The only fast action that I see taking place is tanking the economy and destroying the people along with it. With lightening speed and no real data to prove it, you told us that our offices are somehow more dangerous than our grocery stores.
The COVID Act Now modeling team has recently been scrutinized and criticized for its track record of bad predictions.
Many of its inputs are straight up wrong,
the model does not adjust for key mitigating factors,
and many of its assumptions are outdated.
It feels as if they are using inaccurate algorithms to fear monger leaders into dismantling the greatest economy in the history of our country.
The COVID Act Now model assumes that the only bad thing happening now is the Corona Virus, and the County uses their assumption to order stay at home guidelines under the guise of protecting communities from -say- overrun hospitals - a predicted trend that is not on track to happen as the COVID Act Now data forecasted. Governor Abbott wants his beds back.
The systematic errors that researchers and scientists have called out on the COVID Act Now algorithms caused the creators to actually list the KNOWN LIMITATIONS of their model. The truth is, because of the way this whole crisis has been handled, we still do not know exactly how lethal and prevalent Corona is.
The CDC tells doctors and hospitals to code all COVID-look-alike deaths as COVID deaths, whether or not they have been lab tested. Governors and State Pharmacy Boards hinder access to cheap Hydroxychloroquine, as well as, non pharmaceutical therapies. CDC and FDA block readily available Antibody Testing.
We are spending precious time and stupid money on beds, vents, and masks, but not on first keeping people out of the hospital with available treatments, testing and honest, accurate prevalence data analysis.
Ditch COVID Act Now. Target your quarantines to the sick and to those who are the most vulnerable and immuno-compromised. Balance your course of action with honesty, wisdom, and leadership we can follow. Change your focus to treatment, treatment, treatment! And let the rest of us go back to work!
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About the Author:
Beth Biesel is the Editor of the americanlibertyforum.org "What's New" Blog
Christian's Civic Responsibility
American Liberty Forum
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